Credited from: ALJAZEERA
This year's extreme weather phenomenon, termed "super El Niño," is expected to result in as many as 451,000 excess deaths globally within the first nine months, particularly due to heat, according to Reuters. The findings from the University of Chicago's Climate Impact Lab highlight that countries with high levels of poverty and food insecurity will likely bear the brunt of this devastating impact.
The Climate Impact Lab's report suggests that the regions most affected include the Sahel in Africa and various Southeast Asian nations. For instance, the report projects about 66,800 additional deaths in the Sahel, with Nigeria alone accounting for 31,400 deaths, followed by projected fatalities in Indonesia, India, and Brazil reports Al Jazeera and Channel News Asia.
Researchers anticipate a rise in global land temperatures by an average of 1.2 degrees Celsius due to this El Niño pattern, leading to 44 percent more extremely hot days compared to an average year. This projection aligns with statements from Michael Greenstone, who asserts that the additional heat poses a greater risk in regions where temperatures are already high and resources scarce according to CBS News.
The extreme heat risks linked to this El Niño are expected to have lasting effects beyond its occurrence, having repercussions into the following summer. Greenstone emphasizes the need for immediate action, urging government and humanitarian agencies to implement measures such as heat warnings, cooling centers, and hydration stations to mitigate the impending crisis according to Channel News Asia and Reuters.