Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is expected to make a significant announcement about his political future on Monday, amid escalating calls for his resignation. Facing criticism over various issues, notably the rising costs of food and housing, Trudeau has refrained from public commentary in recent weeks, despite mounting pressure following the unexpected resignation of his finance minister on December 16. Having returned to Ottawa after the Christmas holidays, Trudeau’s silence has been interpreted as a sign of his weakening position, according to political science expert Daniel Béland of McGill University.

All three major opposition parties are poised to support a vote aimed at toppling Trudeau’s minority government; however, with Parliament not currently in session, this threat is not immediate. Members of his own Liberal party are increasingly vocal about their desire for his departure, making his political situation more precarious. Trudeau is set to address the media on Monday morning directly.

Despite the growing discontent within his party and among the opposition, there currently exists no formal mechanism enabling his party to oust him in the short term. If he can maintain his position until Parliament reconvenes later this month, the risk of a no-confidence vote could arise, potentially leading to an election that might favor the Conservative Party.

Initially celebrated for revitalizing Canada’s liberal identity when he was elected in 2015, Trudeau's popularity has significantly declined over recent years, coinciding with essential political challenges. Complicating matters further, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has indicated he may impose steep tariffs on Canadian goods if the country fails to address perceived issues related to migration and drug flows. It should be noted that the volume of such crossings from Canada remains low compared to those from Mexico.

In the event that Trudeau does resign as leader, the Liberal party might consider delaying Parliament's return, allowing time for an orderly leadership transition. Historically, the Liberals have required support from the New Democratic Party (NDP) to sustain their governance, but that backing has dissipated, with NDP leader Jagmeet Singh recently signaling intent to vote against the government, a sentiment echoed by other opposition factions.

For more details, visit the VOA News article or the LA Times coverage.