Donald Trump's order to assassinate Iranian commander Qassem Suleimani is credited by Tom Tugendhat with initiating the fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime.
Tugendhat predicts that Iran could collapse in a few years and emphasizes the potential for Syria to become a key economic player in the Middle East.
On the fifth anniversary of Suleimani's death, Tugendhat describes it as a turning point that made Iran appear weaker.
He notes internal strife within the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, reflecting dissent among younger members against the old guard.
Tugendhat criticizes the west for lacking a long-term strategy in the region, arguing this has led to increased Russian influence under Putin.