Credited from: DAWN
Negotiations aimed at advancing President Donald Trump's Gaza peace initiative have stalled following a significant escalation in the Middle East, marked by joint U.S.-Israeli military actions against Iran which began on February 28. According to sources with direct knowledge of the situation, this pause jeopardizes the implementation of Trump's ambitious plan, which had recently gathered momentum with billions in pledges from Gulf Arab states for Gaza's reconstruction. However, these states are now under threat from Iranian attacks as the conflict deepens, according to Reuters, Dawn, and South China Morning Post.
As the war began, discussions regarding Hamas's potential disarmament in exchange for amnesty have been disrupted, preventing progress essential for broader reconstruction efforts and Israeli military withdrawals. A cable from a Palestinian official indicated that Hamas had been poised to meet with Egyptian, Qatari, and Turkish negotiators on the day the war broke out, but these talks were subsequently canceled with no rescheduled date, as confirmed by Hamas representatives, according to Reuters, Dawn, and South China Morning Post.
Experts have cited concerns stemming from these developments. Zaha Hassan from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace remarked that Gulf states may now reconsider the viability of their financial contributions to Trump's initiatives, questioning whether these investments are worthwhile when regional circumstances are so precarious. Similarly, one source close to Trump's Board of Peace initiative characterized the recent pause not as a complete halt but rather as a brief delay attributed to travel disruptions affecting mediation efforts, as discussed in various reports, including Reuters, Dawn, and South China Morning Post.
The escalating conflict has also influenced Israeli military strategy, as operations against Gaza have seen a temporary reduction, though air raids continue against targets in Iran and Lebanon due to ongoing threats from Hamas. Health officials have reported at least 16 Palestinian casualties since the onset of the Iran war, highlighting the human cost associated with these broader geopolitical conflicts. Local residents express fears that hostilities will resume at an even higher intensity once the focus on Iran diminishes. Residents like Talal Hamouda voiced their concerns about future retaliations if peace talks do not resume post-war, as noted by Reuters, Dawn, and South China Morning Post.
Despite these setbacks, discussions concerning the disarmament issue are reportedly still happening at the operational level among involved nations. Analysts caution that without sustained engagement from the Trump administration, diverging interests could exacerbate the situation, potentially leading to renewed violence. As Natan Sachs from the Middle East Institute emphasized, the ongoing war poses significant risks to peace negotiations, echoing sentiments expressed by other analysts regarding required international attentiveness to resolve the ongoing disputes, according to Reuters, Dawn, and South China Morning Post.