Credited from: LEMONDE
The United States has delayed the release of key employment data as a partial government shutdown enters its third day, leading to significant uncertainty about the state of the world's largest economy. Other essential economic indicators, including weekly unemployment claims, have also been postponed, hampering decision-making for policymakers and businesses alike. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that approximately 750,000 federal employees could be furloughed daily if the funding lapse continues, a situation that adds further strain on the economic landscape, according to Indiatimes and Le Monde.
The delay in key economic reporting occurs at a sensitive time, where policymakers and investors are particularly in need of detailed insights. Analysts note that hiring has significantly slowed, which may jeopardize broader economic stability, despite continued consumer spending in certain sectors. Notably, this marks the first postponement of the jobs report since the government shutdown in 2013. Alternative measurements from non-profits and private companies have begun to fill the data gap, indicating a stagnant job market with minimal layoffs, as reported by Al Jazeera and Le Monde.
Heightened political tensions accompany the shutdown, as the Trump administration shares blame with Senate Democrats for the lapse in funding. Criticism has emerged regarding the necessity of releasing already collected data, with leading figures such as Senator Elizabeth Warren emphasizing the critical need for up-to-date information to guide financial policy. The situation could influence the Federal Reserve's approach to upcoming interest rate decisions, with fears that prolonged uncertainty may undermine economic recovery efforts, according to Indiatimes and Al Jazeera.
The ongoing stop in data releases not only complicates the Federal Reserve's monetary policy landscape but also raises concerns regarding the credibility and reliability of economic statistics amidst political pressures. Notably, the recent firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner by Trump has heightened scrutiny over potential influences on these critical economic figures. Experts warn that any perceived manipulation could jeopardize trust in governmental data, further complicating economic assessments in these already tumultuous times, as reported by Le Monde and Al Jazeera.