Credited from: LEMONDE
European leaders recently convened a summit in Paris to strategize on security guarantees for Ukraine as the conflict with Russia continues unabated. The summit, co-chaired by French President Emmanuel Macron and U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, included discussions about a potential "coalition of the willing," comprising around 30 nations, including the U.S., Canada, Australia, and Japan, aimed at strengthening Ukraine's military capabilities amid ongoing hostilities. This coalition is suggested to include troop deployments and enhanced training for the Ukrainian army, although the details of these guarantees remain largely undefined, with several nations hesitant to commit troops, according to SCMP, Le Monde, and LA Times.
Amidst the summit, significant discussions revolved around the necessity of enhancing pressure on Russian President Vladimir Putin to achieve a cessation of hostilities. Leaders underscored that while the coalition is prepared to act with a renewed intensity, the extent of military support, including potential troop deployments, remains contentious, especially with countries like Germany expressing reservations, as noted by Macron during the discussions, asserting that "Europe is ready, for the first time with this level of commitment and intensity," according to SCMP and Le Monde.
The Russian government has reacted with disdain to the proposed security agreements, with Putin asserting that Moscow is committed to resolving any objectives militarily if a favorable peace deal is not reached. The Kremlin vehemently opposes any notion of foreign troop deployments in Ukraine, as expressed by foreign ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova, further complicating the security landscape outlined by European leaders. NATO chief Mark Rutte has countered this by stating, "It's not for them to decide," emphasizing the need for a firm Western stance, according to SCMP and Le Monde.
Despite the urgency for a peaceful resolution, President Trump’s ambiguous approach has raised concerns in Europe regarding U.S. support for any military commitments made by the coalition. While Trump has suggested that he is “disappointed” in Putin, he has also distanced himself from advocating for an immediate ceasefire, indicating a shift towards favoring negotiations rather than direct intervention. This uncertainty complicates Europe's next steps given their reliance on American backing for security guarantees, as discussed during earlier meetings, indicated experts from both military and diplomatic backgrounds, as per LA Times and SCMP.
European leaders face tough decisions moving forward, particularly regarding troop deployments that could escalate the conflict, should a ceasefire not materialize. Notably, officials from the U.K. and France have indicated a readiness to send troops to Ukraine, signaling a firm stance against any future aggression. However, the real concern remains over the credibility of the promised support and the actual military capabilities that could be mobilized should the situation deteriorate further, as highlighted by various military expert discussions and political analysis, referencing comments from Macron and Starmer, according to Le Monde and LA Times.