Credited from: REUTERS
In a recent address at the annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated the possibility of an interest rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting scheduled for September 16-17. However, he did not make a definitive commitment, acknowledging the complicated interplay between job market stability and inflationary pressures. According to Powell, “While the labor market appears to be in balance, it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers,” suggesting that “downside risks to employment are rising” and could materialize quickly, according to Reuters, Channel News Asia, and Bangkok Post.
Powell also expressed concerns that “upward pressure on prices from tariffs could spur a more lasting inflation dynamic,” which is a risk requiring careful evaluation. He emphasized that while tariffs could lead to higher prices, the impact on inflation is expected to fade over time. His insights suggest a cautious approach to monetary policy adjustments, especially as upcoming employment and inflation data will heavily influence Fed decisions, as reported by Reuters, Channel News Asia, and Bangkok Post.
These comments come amid growing pressure from President Donald Trump, who has publicly called for immediate rate cuts and has criticized Powell's approach. Trump’s calls for Powell to resign have expanded to include demands for Fed Governor Lisa Cook's departure as well. Powell's current term is set to end in May 2026, and despite pressures, he has committed to completing his term. Economic data received since the Fed's last meeting has presented mixed signals, contributing to the uncertainty surrounding future monetary policy, according to Reuters, Channel News Asia, and Bangkok Post.
The Federal Reserve has maintained its interest rates in the 4.25% to 4.50% range since December, adapting to the shifting economic landscape as inflation remains above the central bank's target. The annual inflation rate, which was reported at 2.7% in July, is anticipated to increase further due to new tariffs affecting consumer prices. Some Fed policymakers, including Governor Christopher Waller, argue that cuts may soon be necessary to mitigate potential job market declines, according to Reuters, Channel News Asia, and Bangkok Post.