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Modi's Tax Overhaul Aims to Boost Image Amid US Trade Tensions

share-iconPublished: Sunday, August 17 share-iconUpdated: Sunday, August 17 comment-icon3 months ago
Modi's Tax Overhaul Aims to Boost Image Amid US Trade Tensions

Credited from: CHANNELNEWSASIA

  • Indian PM Modi announces significant tax cuts affecting essentials and electronics.
  • The changes are designed to improve public sentiment and support ahead of state elections.
  • GST overhaul is projected to cost the government $20 billion annually while boosting GDP by 0.6%.
  • Modi urges domestic product consumption amidst rising US tariffs on Indian goods.
  • Political analysts believe the cuts reflect pressure on Modi from public dissatisfaction with taxation.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has announced the deepest tax cuts in eight years, aiming to boost his image while navigating ongoing trade tensions with the United States. These sweeping changes to the goods and services tax (GST) will reduce prices on daily essentials and electronics starting in October, benefiting both consumers and major companies like Nestle, Samsung, and LG Electronics, according to Reuters and Dawn.

During his recent Independence Day speech, Modi urged Indians to prioritize domestically produced goods, responding to calls from supporters to boycott American products following President Trump's significant tariff increases on Indian imports, effective August 27. This declaration aligns with Modi's initiative to lift public sentiment amidst adversity in trade relations, according to Channel News Asia and Reuters.

The tax cuts are likely to have significant implications for government revenues, as GST has been a major source of income. Analysts from IDFC First Bank estimate the changes could boost India’s GDP by approximately 0.6 percentage points over a year, but they also predict an annual revenue loss of around $20 billion for both state and federal governments. This dual impact highlights the balancing act Modi’s government faces, according to Dawn and Channel News Asia.

The tax overhaul is politically crucial as India approaches elections in Bihar, a state with substantial political significance. Recent surveys suggest Modi's opposition may gain an advantage primarily due to rising unemployment and public dissatisfaction. Political analysts, including Rasheed Kidwai, predict that the broad-based nature of the GST cuts is a strategic move to counteract this trend, as only a small fraction of the Indian population pays income tax, according to Channel News Asia and Reuters.

Critics have long pointed out the complexities of the GST system, which was initially implemented in 2017 to streamline multiple state taxes but instead became a source of confusion. The new tax adjustments will eliminate the highest slab of 28%, which includes high-ticket items like cars and electronics, moving many goods into a lower 5% bracket to make them more affordable. This move has been touted as a necessary simplification of the tax structure, according to Reuters and Channel News Asia.

As Modi's government endeavors to mitigate backlash from high taxes, communication consultant Dilip Cherian emphasized that any tax cut is likely to garner public approval; however, he warns that the timing reflects political pressures rather than fiscal strategy. "It seems to be an indication of some mixture of frustration as well as recognition that there is a broad public pushback against high and crippling rates of taxation," he remarked, highlighting the strategic significance of the tax reform during a contentious election period, according to Dawn and Reuters.

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