Credited from: BBC
Federal regulators, specifically the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), have come under scrutiny for loosening flood oversight at Camp Mystic, a girls' summer camp situated in a dangerous floodplain near the Guadalupe River. Following a review, it was revealed that FEMA granted multiple appeals to remove 30 buildings from its 100-year flood map leading up to a catastrophic flood on July 4 that resulted in the deaths of at least 27 campers and counselors, as well as the camp's owner, Dick Eastland. The camp was originally designated as part of a "Special Flood Hazard Area" in FEMA's flood maps established in 2011, necessitating flood insurance and stricter regulations on construction projects, according to SCMP and HuffPost.
The floodwaters were described as “historic” and struck the camp rapidly during the pre-dawn hours, catching many off guard as the area lacked an adequate warning system. Experts have indicated that the severity of the flooding far exceeded FEMA's projections for a 100-year flood event. Syracuse University associate professor Sarah Pralle expressed concern, stating, “It’s a mystery to me why [Camp Mystic] weren’t taking proactive steps to move structures away from the risk,” highlighting the camp's responsibility for the safety of its young campers, as noted by NPR and CBS News.
Despite warnings from FEMA regarding the dangers of flooding, between 2013 and 2020, the agency amended the flood maps multiple times, removing structures from the hazard zone, which may have allowed the camp to avoid insurance requirements and facilitate expansion and renovations under less stringent regulations. This action has drawn criticism as it seemingly prioritized operational convenience over safety, according to Newsweek and LA Times.
Analysis revealed that at least 12 of the structures at Camp Mystic Guadalupe were still fully located within FEMA's floodplain, conflicting with the amended maps. First Street, a climate risk modeling company, found that FEMA’s flood maps likely underestimated the risk posed by intense rainfall, failing to account for the impact of smaller waterways in flood scenarios, according to statements from Jeremy Porter, head of climate implications at First Street. This suggests that many of the camp's buildings remained at high risk despite regulatory changes, as detailed by BBC and NPR.
In light of the disaster, the inadequacy of the local warning systems has also come into question. Reports indicate that there were delays in providing alerts to residents about the impending flooding, contributing to the tragic loss of life at Camp Mystic and raising broader concerns about emergency preparedness in flood-prone regions across the United States. This situation has amplified calls for improved flood management practices and accountability for local authorities in such vulnerable areas, according to CBS News, LA Times, and Newsweek.