Credited from: INDIATIMES
U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Tuesday that China could continue purchasing Iranian oil following a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. He emphasized, "China can now continue to purchase oil from Iran. Hopefully, they will be purchasing plenty from the U.S., also," indicating a notable shift from strict U.S. sanctions against Iranian crude exports. This was seen as a bearish signal for oil prices, which fell by nearly 6% as a result, according to SCMP, Reuters, and Dawn.
Despite Trump’s optimistic remarks, the White House later clarified that this does not indicate any easing of sanctions. A senior official pointed out that Iran has not attempted to shut the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for oil shipments, which helped allay immediate concerns for China, the world's largest importer of Iranian oil. China's commitment to its energy security remains steadfast, as expressed by a Chinese foreign ministry spokesman, who stated that, "China will take legitimate measures to safeguard its energy security based on its own national interests," according to India Times and Newsweek.
Trump's allowance for Iranian oil purchases by China could signify a return to a more lax enforcement of U.S. sanctions, which had previously targeted Chinese operators engaged in Iranian oil transactions. Scott Modell, a former CIA officer, described this policy shift as reflective of "a return to lax enforcement standards," noting that it could provide significant concessions during upcoming U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, according to India Times and SCMP.
The impact of U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports has been limited, especially following more significant measures implemented during Trump's previous administration. China's strategic purchases represent approximately 13.6% of its oil, bolstered by discounted rates which aid independent refineries. As Trump's administration attempts to navigate the shift in policy, the market response remains cautious, suggesting that immediate changes to China's procurement are unlikely, as indicated by oil analysts, according to Reuters, Dawn, and India Times.