Credited from: SCMP
Despite fierce trade tensions, China's exports rose by 8.1% year-on-year in April, outpacing economists' predictions of a mere 2% increase. This surge is attributed to strategic rerouting of trade towards Southeast Asia as China's government adapts to US tariffs that now reach up to 145%. Import figures also saw a slight decline of 0.2%, which is considerably better than the projected 6% drop, suggesting resilience despite external pressures, according to SCMP, Reuters, and India Times.
However, China's exports to the US saw a drastic 17.6% drop month-on-month, reflecting the impact of significant tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. Shipments to the US totaled just US$33 billion in April, a stark decrease from US$40.1 billion in March. Analysts believe this decline may be compounded by ongoing cancellations of orders from US retailers seeking to avoid high tariffs, according to Channel News Asia, Reuters, and CBS News.
As the trade war continues, China has focused on diversifying its export markets, with notable growth in shipments to countries such as Vietnam and Thailand, which increased by over 21%. This shift illustrates a structural change in supply chains in response to tariffs affecting trade with the US. Economists predict that while this strategy mitigates some tariff impacts, overall trade data could begin to weaken as the effects of tariffs become more pronounced, as highlighted by experts from NY Times, Bangkok Post, and Al Jazeera.
As negotiations are set to commence in Switzerland, with both sides hopeful for de-escalation, the market is anxiously watching to see if the US will consider reducing its tariffs. Recent statements from President Trump suggest a potential reduction, though tariffs of 80% would still pose significant challenges for US importers. Thus, while there is optimism regarding negotiations, uncertainty remains high about future trade dynamics, as indicated by several market analysts, according to Reuters and Al Jazeera.