Credited from: AA
Following a horrific terror attack in Pahalgam, which resulted in the deaths of 26 individuals, India has taken significant diplomatic measures, including suspending the long-standing Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) established in 1960. This treaty governs water distribution from the Indus River Basin between the two nuclear-armed neighbors. The suspension marks a pivotal shift in India’s attitude toward cross-border provocations and is viewed as a punitive measure against Pakistan, whom India accuses of supporting terrorism, according to IndiaTimes, AA, and Al Jazeera.
Pakistan's response has been firm, with officials stating that any attempt by India to stop or divert the flow of water as per the treaty will be interpreted as an "act of war." The Pakistani government has threatened that such actions would lead to a robust military response, reflecting the treaty's critical importance to Pakistan's agriculture and water security. Pakistan emphasizes the binding nature of the treaty, which lacks any provisions for unilateral suspension, according to AA, Dawn, and BBC.
The broader implications of this diplomatic standoff have drawn international attention. Analysts suggest that the suspension of the IWT could exacerbate water scarcity issues in Pakistan, with significant consequences for its agricultural sector, which relies heavily on the waters from the Indus system. Indeed, any disruption could severely impact Pakistan’s economy, impacting about 80% of its irrigation and food security, as highlighted by experts from NY Times and Dawn.
In addition to halting the treaty, India has taken measures such as closing the Wagah border and suspending visa services for Pakistani nationals. In retaliation, Pakistan has similarly suspended trade and closed airspace to Indian airlines. These developments indicate a potential for escalating conflict in South Asia, which is already characterized by a volatile relationship between the two nations, as reported by AA, Dawn, and TRT Global.
The UN has also expressed its concern regarding the situation, urging both countries to exercise maximum restraint to avoid further escalation, noting the historical significance of the IWT as a stabilizing factor in Indo-Pak relations TRT Global and Le Monde.