Indian banks' gross non-performing assets (NPAs) remain low at 2.6% as of September 2024, but are projected to rise to 3% by March 2026.
RBI's stress test indicates NPAs could increase to 5% under adverse conditions, signaling potential vulnerabilities in the banking sector.
Concerns have been raised about increasing write-offs, particularly in private sector banks, which could mask true asset quality issues.
The capital to risk-weighted assets ratio (CRAR) for scheduled commercial banks is expected to decline slightly, but no bank is poised to fall below the minimum requirement.
RBI highlights risks across sectors including microfinance and equity valuations, alongside global concerns related to tokenisation in financial markets.
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